Latest post of the previous page:I am totally not understanding what is happening in Syria re the alleged gas attacks and the UN investigation team.
I cannot work out how either side can really benefit from this.
1. If it was the rebels faking the attack then, if the UN team checked it, they would be found out quite quickly.
2. If the rebels had stolen some gas and actually killed these people it seems to be a draconian tactic, if the UN team where allowed full forensic freedom of action then this would almost certainly be worked out.
3. If, as the government suggest, the rebels did stage the attack then it would be in their interest to have the UN team find this out - yet they seem to be blocking that move.
4. If the government staged the attack it seems, at first sight, incredibly stupid with the team nearby - but the government does have the ability to stop the UN investigating the attack.
So, as ever in this part of the world, a very confusing situation. With Russia and China on the side of the Syrian regime and Hague making rather inflammatory/accusatory sound bites one wonders if we will ever know until this is all history (if then).
Whoever wins the west will have lost any chance of allying themselves to the victor and, if the rebels win, Russia and China will not be in favour either. That leaves Syria either in the Russia/China camp or, potentially, as an Islamic state, against the whole non-Islamic world, because the Sunni militants (native and insurgent) will probably take charge. That will also set them at odds with Iraq, Iran, Lebanon and (still mostly secular) Turkey. Saudi Arabia will not be pleased because, although Sunni themselves, Al Q (who will have an influence) is totally against the SA royal family. The same could be said for the Gulf States who are all western facing for their oil fortunes.
Syria, whatever happens, whoever wins, does not seem to have much chance for a good future.